Stanford vs Arizona State:Stanford Cardinal vs Arizona State Sun Devils Football – October 18, 2018 – Pac-12. Our advanced computer model simulated Thursday’s Stanford vs. Arizona State game 10000 times. The stars will be out in primetime as Stanford and Arizona State kick if off on Thursday night in Tempe. The big question will be whether or not
Plenty of star power will be on display Thursday when the Arizona State Sun Devils host the Stanford Cardinal at 9 p.m. ET, but the biggest play-maker might not suit up. Heisman Trophy hopeful Bryce Love is questionable with an ankle injury that kept him out of the Cardinal’s last game. Herm Edwards, in his first year coaching the Sun Devils, is off to a 3-3 start. Stanford opened as a three-point road favorite and now is laying 2.5. The over-under, which opened at 51.5, has ballooned to 56.5 in the latest Arizona State vs. Stanford odds. Before you make any Arizona State vs. Stanford picks, check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The advanced computer model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. In the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors. The model made some huge calls in Week 7, including nailing Iowa State’s outright upset of No. 6 West Virginia. It also picked Virginia (+7) in the Cavaliers’ huge upset of No. 16 Miami, and recommended LSU (+7) against the spread for its upset of No. 2 Georgia. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Stanford vs. Arizona State 10,000 times. We can tell you the over hits in over 50 percent of simulations, but it has also produced a strong against-the-spread pick that hits well over 60 percent of the time. This pick is available only at SportsLine.
The model knows the Cardinal’s confidence might be sagging if Love is unable to play. For the season, the senior rusher has 327 yards at 4.3 yards per pop, but for his career, he’s netting 7.2 yards a carry. Luckily, Stanford has plenty of firepower in its offensive arsenal if he can’t go.
Quarterback K.J. Costello is coming off a 381-yard performance against Utah on 26-for-41 passing. He will be trying to get the ball into the hands of star wideout J.J. Arcega-Whiteside early and often. The 6-foot-3 senior is a marvelous mix of speed, bulk and agility. He has 30 receptions for 541 yards — a dominating average of 18 yards per catch — and eight touchdowns.
Just because Stanford has plenty of weapons even without Love doesn’t mean it will cover Thursday.
Sun Devils quarterback Manny Wilkins is completing 64 percent of his attempts and has an impressive touchdown-to-interception ratio of 11-to-1. He eclipsed the 7,000-yard career mark in his previous start against Colorado and has thrown 43 career touchdown passes. He also has racked up 157 rushing yards and two more scores.
Arizona State running back Eno Benjamin is enjoying a remarkable season. He has rushed for 715 yards, netting 5.7 yards per pop. He has also found the end zone seven times.
Who wins Stanford vs. Arizona State? And which side covers well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the computer model that has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors.Since he became the coach at Stanford seven years ago, David Shaw has never lost three games in a row. Then again, he’s never had a team so incapable of running the football.
The Cardinal (4-2, 2-1 Pac-12) hopes to break its two-game losing streak, and improve on a rushing offense that’s 126th among 129 teams in FBS at 85.7 yards per game, when it visits Arizona State (3-3, 1-2) Thursday at 6 p.m.
“Not only have we not reached our potential, I don’t think we’ve approached it,” Shaw said. “We’ve had glimpses in the pass game, glimpses defending the pass, glimpses defending the run at times. But we haven’t put a complete game together, let alone a 3-4 game span where we’re playing our best.”
Will it start tonight? Here are three things to watch:
How much better did Stanford get in the 12 days since the 40-21 home loss to Utah? Shaw said the most important thing was rest and recovery, though it also allowed the team to fine-tune its fundamentals – “really get back to make sure we’re stepping with the right foot, putting our hands where they’re supposed to be.”
Stanford is 10-4 under Shaw when coming off a bye week.
One of the biggest keys will be getting off to a good start. The Cardinal has been outscored 38-14 in the first quarter but have outscored opponents 140-94 after that.
“We have to start games better,” Shaw said. “We can’t start playing when we’re down 7, down 14, and then play our best football just to get back in the game.”Bryce Love had a Stanford-record 301 rushing yards and three touchdowns in a 34-24 win over Arizona State last season. He has similar numbers this year (327 rushing yards and three touchdowns) – but it’s for all four games he has played this season. Even if he comes back from an ankle injury that caused him to miss the Utah game, the Cardinal hasn’t had its customary success on the ground.
As reasons for the decline, Shaw mentioned injuries to the offensive line and Love, the quality of defenses Stanford has faced, getting behind early in games, and being more effective in the pass game.
Instead, it is Arizona State’s Eno Benjamin who is coming off three straight 100-yard games, including 312 yards against Oregon State. Benjamin’s 119.2 yards per game ranks sixth nationally, which doesn’t bode well for a Stanford defense that has allowed a 100-yard rusher in three consecutive games (CJ Verdell of Oregon, Dexter Williams of Notre Dame and Zach Moss of Utah).
Stanford has compensated for its lack of run game with quarterback K.J. Costello, whose three 300-yard passing games this season are the most for the program since Andrew Luck had five in 2011. Against Utah, Stanford had three 100-yard receivers (tight end Kaden Smith and wideouts JJ Arcega-Whiteside and Trenton Irwin) in the same game for the first time in 21 years.
Arizona State is also multi-dimensional. Wide receiver N’Keal Harry was an AP preseason all-America second-team selection, while senior quarterback Manny Wilkins has thrown 11 touchdowns and only one interception.“The hard part is accounting for a very good running back and a very good receiver, and a quarterback who is not going to be surprised by anything that we do,” Shaw said. “It’s really the combination that we have to be most concerned about. We have to be better slowing down the running game, but knowing we can’t sacrifice the big plays to the receiver either.”
To top it off, the Sun Devils take great care of the ball. They have committed only two turnovers, best in the nation.